International Conference
on Mathematical and Statistical Modeling
in Honor of Enrique Castillo
(ICMSM 2006)


University of Castilla-La Mancha
 Ciudad Real (SPAIN)
June 28-30, 2006


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Schedule

 

Important Deadlines

Abstract submission (new deadline)

April 30, 2006

Submission of Final Paper (new deadline)

May 30, 2006

Early Registration

April 30, 2006

ICMSM 2006 Conference

June 28-30, 2006

One day excursion to Toledo

July 1, 2006

Conference Location:

Paraninfo Luis Arroyo (Click to see a map)
Ciudad Real Campus, University of Castilla - La Mancha
C/ Ronda de Toledo s/n, Ciudad Real, Spain

Presentations

You will have a total of 20 minutes to present your paper, which includes the time you should save for discussion.

IMPORTANT NOTE ABOUT TECHNICAL EQUIPMENT: Every room has got a computer with Adobe Acrobat and Power Point programs installed which is connected to a beamer and an overhead projector. So if you are planning to use any other programs or technical devices you should provide it.

Program:

Important note

Bear in mind that it would be better for us to know in advance if you and your accompanying person have intention to attend the following social program:

  1. Farewell dinner: 72 € (including transport)
  2. Almagro: 28 € (including transport, tickets and dinner at Doña Carlota Hotel)
  3. Toledo: 95 € (including transport, tickets and lunch at El Palacete Restaurant).

Please, send us an email clarifying these details so that we can make the reservations for you. Take note that we have to make a fixed number of bookings; therefore it would be recommendable to inform us about your intentions, especially if you know them for sure. If you are not sure enough about this matter you could tell us at the conference, your answer is not binding.

Instructions of how to pay for these activities are in the registration web page.

SHORT PROGRAM

Tuesday, June 27

 

18:30 - 20:00

Early Registration (Paraninfo Luis Arroyo)

20.30 - 22.00

Welcoming Reception (Rectorado Building)

Wednesday, June 28

 

8:00 - 9:00

Registration (Paraninfo Luis Arroyo)

9:00 - 9:15

Opening ceremony (Soluziona Building)

9:15 - 10:15 

Plenary Lecture 1 by Barry C. Arnold

10:15 - 11:15

Session 1

11.15 - 11.45

Coffee Break

11.45 - 13.05

Session 2

13.30 - 15.30

Lunch

15.30 - 16.30

Plenary Lecture 2 by Chris Jones

16.30 - 17.30

Session 3

17:30 - 18:00

Coffee Break

18.00 - 19:00

Session 4

Thursday, June 29

 

8:30 - 9:00

Registration

9:00 -10:00

Plenary Lecture 3 by Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan

10:00 -11:20

Session 5

11:20 - 11:50

Coffee Break

11:50 - 13:30

Session 6

13:45 - 15:30

Lunch

15:30 - 16:30

Session 7

16:30 - 21:00

Sightseeing at Almagro.

21:30 - 23:00

Dinner

Friday, June 30

 

8:30 - 9:00

Registration

9:00 - 10:00

Plenary Lecture 4 by Enrico Zio

10:00 - 11:20

Session 8

11:20 - 11:50

Coffee Break

11:50 - 13:30

Session 9

13:45 - 15:30

Lunch

15:30 - 16:30

Session 10

19:00 - 19:45

Closing ceremony

19:45

Bus departure to the restaurant

20:30 - 23:00

Farewell dinner

Saturday, July 1

 

8:30

Bus Departure from hotels to Toledo

10:00 - 10:30

Coffee Break at a Souvenir Storehouse

10:30 - 11:00

Guided Panoramic Sightseeing around Toledo

11:00 - 14:00

Guided Visit to the City

14:00 - 16:00

Lunch at "El Palacete" (Hispanic-Muslim Palace)

16:00 - 19:00

Spare Time

19:00

Trip Back to Ciudad Real

(*) Important note

Toledo is half hour away from Madrid by train, so if you are planning to leave on Saturday, July 1, you could take the train from Toledo to Madrid (Atocha Renfe station). It costs 8 euros. Train schedule information

We recommend you to buy the tickets in advance because it is difficult to get them for that date. On-line sale is available on the Renfe webpage.

Important note

Individual fees for those who have intention to participate only in individual activities in the social program are:

  1. Farewell dinner: 72 € (including transport)
  2. Almagro: 28 € (including transport, tickets and dinner at Doña Carlota Hotel)
  3. Toledo: 95 € (including transport, tickets and lunch at El Palacete Restaurant).
Instructions of how to pay for these activities are in the registration web page.

EXTENDED PROGRAM

Wednesday, June 28

 

8:00 - 9:00

Registration (Paraninfo Luis Arroyo)

9:00 - 9:15

Opening ceremony (Soluziona Building)

9:15 - 10:15  

Plenary Lecture 1 (Location: Soluziona Building)

Chairman: Jacek Wesolowski

Enrique Castillo's Contributions To Conditional Specification, by BARRY C. ARNOLD  

 

Session 1 (Room A): Distribution Theory and Applications I

Chairman: William Reed

10:15 - 10:35

The Polygonal Distribution, by EVDOKIA XEKALAKI and DIMITRIS KARLIS  

10:35 - 10:55

Conditionally Specified Models: New Developments and Applications, by JOSÉ MARÍA SARABIA  

10:55 - 11:15

Modelling Circular Data Using the Wrapped Stable Family of Distributions, by ARTHUR PEWSEY 

 

Session 1 (Room B):  Probability and Statistics I

Chairman: James Press

10:15 -10:35

Characterizations related to neutrality of random probabilities, by KONSTANCJA BOBECKA

10.35 - 10:55

On the Power of Tests of Kolmogorov-Smirnov Type Testing the Trend of Brownian Bridge/motion and Applications, by WOLFGANG BISCHOFF

10:55 - 11:15

Respondent Generated Intervals (RGI) in Sample Surveys, by S. JAMES PRESS and JUDITH M. TANUR

11:15 - 11:45

Coffee Break (Paraninfo Luis Arroyo)

 

Session 2 (Room A): Order Statistics and Analysis

Chairman: Udo Kamps

11:45 - 12:05

A Multivariate Concomitant Order Statistics Based Approach to Density Estimation, by ALAN DAVID HUTSON

12:05 - 12:25

Reliability Properties of Mixtures, Order Statistics and Systems, by JORGE NAVARRO and PEDRO J. HERNÁNDEZ

12:25 - 12:45

Bounds on Expectations of Generalized Order Statistics Based on Bounded Samples, by TOMASZ RYCHLIK

12:45 - 13:05

Models of Ordered Data and Products of Beta Random variables, by ERIC BEUTNER and UDO KAMPS

 

Session 2 (Room B): Engineering Modeling I

Chairman: José Antonio Revilla

11:45 - 12:05

Electricity Market Equilibrium Model with Constraints Involving Prices, by RAQUEL GARCÍA-BERTRAND and ANTONIO CONEJO

12:05 - 12:25

Decomposition Techniques Applied to the Power System Scheduling Problem, by NATALIA ALGUACIL-CONDE, ANTONIO CONEJO and FRANCISCO JAVIER NOGALES

12:25 - 12:45

Stochastic Online Scheduling, by DENIZ TÜRSEL-ELIIYI and UMAY UZUNOGLU KOÇER 

12:45 - 13:05

Non Gaussian State Estimation in Power Systems, by ROBERTO MÍNGUEZ, ANTONIO CONEJO and ALI S. HADI

13:30 - 15:30

Lunch (Doņa Carlota Hotel)

15:30 - 16:30

Plenary Lecture 2 (Location: Soluziona Building)

Chairman: Evdokia Xekalaki

Three Families of Distributions Based on Simple Initial Distributions and My Two Favourite Simple Initial Distributions, by CHRIS JONES 

 

Session 3 (Room A): Extreme Value Theory I

Chairman:  M. Ivette Gomes

16:30 - 16:50

On Some Dependence Measures for Multivariate Extreme Value Distributions, by ISHAY WEISSMAN

16:50 - 17:10

Extremes and Ruin of Gaussian Processes, by JUERG HUESLER

17:10 - 17:30

The Contribution of the Maximum to the Sum in the Selection of Extreme Domains of Attraction, by CLAUDIA NEVES and M. ISABEL FRAGA ALVES  

 

Session 3 (Room B): Business and Economics Applications I

Chairman: Emilio Gómez-Déniz 

16:30 - 16:50

Corporate Governance Behaviour: An Empirical Study from European Firms, by MARÍA SARABIA, JOSÉ MARÍA SARABIA and JOSÉ LUIS FANJUL

16:50 - 17:10

Modelling Population Health through Income Inequality, by MARTA PASCUAL

17:10 - 17:30

On the Use of the Weighted Balanced Loss to Obtain Credibility Premiums, by EMILIO GÓMEZ-DÉNIZ

17:30 - 18:00

Coffee Break (Paraninfo Luis Arroyo)

 

Session 4 (Room A): Extreme Value Theory II

Chairman: Ishay Weissman 

18:00 - 18:20

Testing Extreme Value Conditions: an Overview and Recent Approaches, by ISABEL FRAGA ALVES and CLAUDIA NEVES

18:20 - 18:40

Empirical Tail Index and VaR Analysis, by M. IVETTE GOMES, LIGIA RODRÍGUES and CLARA VISEU 

18:40 -19:00

An Example of Real-Life Data where the Hill Estimator is Correct, by ROLF-DIETER REISS and ULF CORMANN 

 

Session 4B (Room B): Applied Mathematics I

Chairman: Antonio Conejo

18:00 - 18:20

Quadratic Programming Approach for fuzzy linear regression analysis, by SERGIO DONOSO, NICOLÁS MARÍN and M. AMPARO VILA 

18:20 - 18:40

Feasibility Conditions in Engineering Problems Involving Parametric Systems of Linear Inequalities, by CRISTINA SOLARES and EDUARDO W. V. CHAVES

18:40 - 19:00

Useful Differential Formulations for Geometric Processing in Computer Aided Geometric Design, by JAIME PUIG-PEY, AKEMI GÁLVEZ, ANDRÉS IGLESIAS, PEDRO CORCUERA and JOSÉ RODRÍGUEZ

Thursday, June 29

 

8:30 - 9:00

Registration (Paraninfo Luis Arroyo)

9:00 - 10:00

Plenary Lecture 3 (Location: Soluziona Building)

Chairman: Leandro Pardo

Step-stress Models: Exact Inference and Optimal Design, by NARAYANASWAMY BALAKRISHNAN  

 

Session 5 (Room A): Distribution Theory and Applications II

Chairman: Arthur Pewsey

10:00 - 10:20

Determinacy of Distributions by Their Moments, by JORDAN STOYANOV

10:20 - 10:40

Hurdle and Zero-Inflated Models for Panel Data, by JEAN-PHILIPPE BOUCHER, MICHEL DENUIT and MONTSERRAT GUILLÉN

10:40 - 11:00

Testing for Benford and Zipf Laws, by WILLIAM REED.  

11:00 - 11:20

Modelling incurred but not Reported Claim Reserve Using Copulas, by GAIDA PETTERE

 

Session 5 (Room B):  Probability and Statistics II

Chairman: Wolfgang Bischoff

10:00 - 10:20

Asymptotics for perfect matchings in random bi-partite graphs, by JACEK WESOLOWSKI

10:20 - 10:40

A New Inversion Formula For Characteristic Functions, by FERNANDO LÓPEZ-BLÁZQUEZ, BEGOÑA SALAMANCA-MIÑO and ANTONIA CASTAÑO-MARTÍNEZ

10:40 - 11:00

On the Mean Residual Life Function of k-out-of-n Systems with Nonidentical Components, by ISMIHAN BAIRAMOGLU and SELMA GURLER

11:00 - 11:20

On the Visualization of Massive Hyperdimensional Data, by RIDA E. A. MOUSTAFA and ALI S. HADI

11:20 - 11:50

Coffee Break (Paraninfo Luis Arroyo)

 

Session 6 (Room A): Statistical Methods I

Chairman: Daniel Peña

11:50 - 12:10

Goodness-Of-Fit Tests for Conditional Models under Censoring and Truncation, by RICARDO CAO and WENCESLAO GONZÁLEZ-MANTEIGA

12:10 - 12:30

Jackknife Bias Correction of a Clock Offset Estimator, by DANIEL JESKE 

12:30 - 12:50

Selective Naive Bayes Predictor with Mixtures of Truncated Exponentials, by MARÍA MORALES, CARMELO RODRÍGUEZ and ANTONIO SALMERÓN  

12:50 - 13:10

Pretesting in Polytomous Logistic Regression Models based on Phi-divergence Measures, by LEANDRO PARDO, MARÍA LUISA MENÉNDEZ and NIRIAN MARTIN

13:10 - 13:30

Statistical Evidence in Two-Way Contingency Tables, by MARIA KATERI and NARAYANASWAMY BALAKRISHNAN  

 

Session 6 (Room B): Engineering Modelling II

Chairman: Manuel Casteleiro

11:50 - 12:10

A Heuristic Procedure for the Robust Mean Absolute Deviation Problem on a Network, by MARÍA CRUZ LÓPEZ DE LOS MOZOS and JUAN ANTONIO MESA 

12:10 - 12:30

Spiral instabilities in a thermoconvective problem, by HENAR HERRERO, MARÍA CRUZ NAVARRO and ANA MARÍA MANCHO 

12:30 - 12:50

Tracking 3D Crack Paths, by EDUARDO W. V. CHAVES 

12:50 - 13:10

A Mathematical and Numerical Model for the Simulation of Hydrodynamic Flow and Salinity Evolution in Shallow Water Estuaries of High Ecological Value, by MANUEL CASTELEIRO, FERMÍN NAVARRINA, IGNASI COLOMINAS, LUIS CUETO-FELGUEROSO and HÉCTOR GÓMEZ

13:10 -13:30

A Constitutive Model for Soft Clavey Rocks Which Includes Weathering Effects, by EDUARDO E. ALONSO, NÚRIA M. PINYOL and JEAN VAUNAT replacing The Madrid Model: A Simplified Approach to the Tunnel Subsidence Estimation, by CARLOS S. OTEO MAZO

13:45 - 15:30

Lunch (Doņa Carlota Hotel)

 

Session 7 (Room A): Business and Economics Applications II

Chairman: Félix Belzunce

15:30 - 15:50

The Influence of Transport Links on Disaggregation and Regionalization Methods in Interregional Input-Output Models For Metropolitan and Remote Areas, by FERNANDO ESCOBEDO and JOSÉ UREÑA

15:50 - 16:10

Poverty Measures and Poverty Orderings, by MIGUEL ANGEL SORDO, HÉCTOR RAMOS and CARMEN D. RAMOS

16:10 - 16:30

On Comparison of Concentration for Several Parametric Families of Income Distributions, by FÉLIX BELZUNCE, JOSÉ FRANCISCO PINAR, JOSÉ MARÍA RUIZ and MIGUEL ANGEL SORDO

 

Session 7 (Room B): Applied Mathematics II

Chairman: Jaime Puig-Pey

15:30 - 15:50

Generalized Inverse Computation Based on an Orthogonal Decomposition, by PATRICIA GÓMEZ, BEATRIZ LACRUZ and ROSA EVA PRUNEDA

15:50 - 16:10

A Modified Dynamic Relaxation Method, by RENA C. YU and GONZALO RUIZ

16:10 - 16:30

Solving Functional Equations Via an Optimization Approach, by RICARDO GARCÍA and VICTOR M. PÉREZ-GARÍA

16:30 - 21:00

Sightseeing at Almagro

21:30 - 23:00

Dinner

Friday, June 30

 

8:30 - 9:00

Registration (Paraninfo Luis Arroyo)

9:00 -10:00

Plenary Lecture 4 (Location: Soluziona Building)

Chairman: Alfonso Fernández Canteli

Wandering for Relevance in High-dimensional Spaces: Genetic Algorithms for Feature Selection in Pattern Classification, by ENRICO ZIO

 

Session 8 (Room A): Discrete Distributions

Chairman: Adrienne Kemp

10:00 -10:20

Conditional Specification and Mixtures of Generalized Hypergeometric Probability Distributions, by ANTONIO JOSÉ SÁEZ CASTILLO, JOSÉ RODRÍGUEZ AVI, ANTONIO CONDE SÁNCHEZ and MARÍA JOSÉ OLMO JIMÉNEZ

10:20 - 10:40

Parameter Estimation for Certain q-Hypergeometric Distributions, by DAVID KEMP

10:40 - 11:00

Some Aspects of Bivariate Gaussian Discrete Distributions, by JOSÉ RODRÍGUEZ AVI, MARÍA JOSÉ OLMO JIMÉNEZ, ANTONIO CONDE and ANTONIO JOSÉ SÁEZ CASTILLO

11:00 - 11:20

The Discrete Half-Normal Distribution, by ADRIENNE KEMP

 

Session 8 (Room B): Functional and Neural Networks

Chairman: José Manuel Gutiérrez

10:00 - 10:20

Functional Networks for Classification and Regression Problems, by BEATRIZ LACRUZ, ANA PÉREZ-PALOMARES and ROSA EVA PRUNEDA

10:20 - 10:40

Surface Reconstruction Via Functional Networks, by ANDRÉS IGLESIAS, AKEMI GÁLVEZ and GONZALO ECHEVARRÍA

10:40 - 11:00

A new initialization method for neural networks based on sensitivity analysis, by BERTHA GUIJARRO-BERDIÑAS, OSCAR FONTELA-ROMERO, BEATRIZ PÉREZ-SÁNCHEZ and AMPARO ALONSO-BETANZOS 

11:00 - 11:20

Forecasting Nonlinear Systems with Neural Networks via Anticipated Synchronization, by ANTONIO S. COFIÑO, DANIEL SAN MARTÍN SEGURA and JOSÉ MANUEL GUTIÉRREZ LLORENTE

11:20 - 11:50

Coffee Break (Paraninfo Luis Arroyo)

 

Session 9 (Room A): Statistical Methods II

Chairman: Ricardo Cao 

11:50 - 12:10

Quality Control with Image data, by MÓNICA BENITO and DANIEL PEÑA

12:10 - 12:30

Optimum Designs for Absorption Models, by LICESIO RODRÍGUEZ-ARAGÓN and JESÚS LÓPEZ-FIDALGO

12:30 - 12:50

A mixture model for software bug removal processes, by CHANG XUAN MAO

12:50 - 13:10

Checking Generalized Linear Models with Binary Data using Divergence Measures, by JULIO ANGEL PARDO and MARÍA CARMEN PARDO

13:10 - 13:30

Bias Selection in Pseudo Panel Data, by JOHN JAMES MORA RODRÍGUEZ and JUAN MURO

 

 

Session 9 (Room B): Engineering Modelling III

Chairman: Roberto Mínguez

11:50 - 12:10

A numerical solver for the simulation of soil-moisture changes induced by trees close to buildings, by VICENTE NAVARRO, MIGUEL CANDEL, ANGEL YUSTRES, MIGUEL MENA and BEATRIZ GARCíA

12:10 - 12:30

A Risk Assessment Approach to Contaminant Emissions in Seaport Areas Using Mathematical Models, by JOSÉ ANTONIO REVILLA, AINA GARCÍA, ANDRÉS GARCÍA, BÁRBARA ONDIVIELA and JOSÉ ANTONIO JUANES

12:30 - 12:50

Statistics Applied to Wave Climate on a Beach Profile by CARMEN CASTILLO and CRISTINA SOLARES

12:50 - 13:10

Modelling Engineering Fatigue Problems, by ALFONSO FERNÁNDEZ-CANTELI, M. JESÚS LAMELA and MANUEL LÓPEZ AENLLE

13:10 - 13:30

Probability of failure during the useful life of maritime works, by MIGUEL ANGEL LOSADA and ASUNCIÓN BAQUERIZO

13:45 - 15:30

Lunch (Doņa Carlota Hotel)

 

Session 10 (Room A): Multivariate Analysis

Chairman: Carles M. Cuadras

15:30 - 15:50

A Linear Approach for Multivariate Normal Tests, by ALFONSO GARCÍA-PÉREZ

15:50 - 16:10

Multivariate Skewness and Kurtosis measures with an Application in ICA, by TONU KOLLO 

16:10 - 16:30

Distance-based Multi-sample Tests for General Multivariate Data, by CARLES M. CUADRAS 

 

Session 10 (Room B): Censoring Methodology.

Chairman: Erhard Cramer

15:30 -15:50

On Optimal Schemes in Progressive Type II Censoring, by MARCO BURKSCHAT

15:50 - 16:10

Nonparametric Inference for Sequential k-out-of-n Systems, by ERIC BEUTNER

16:10 - 16:30

Progressive Censoring: The NIID Case, by ERHARD CRAMER 

19:00 - 19:45

Closing Ceremony (Rectorado Building)

19:45

Bus Departure to the Restaurant

20:30 - 23:00

Farewell dinner

Saturday, July 1

 

8:30 Bus Departure from Hotels to Toledo
10:00 - 10:30 Coffee Break at a Souvenir Storehouse
10:30 - 11:00 Guided Panoramic Sightseeing around Toledo
11:00 - 14:00 Guided Visit to the City
14:00 - 16:00 Lunch at "El Palacete"
16:00 - 19:00 Spare Time

19:00

Trip back to Ciudad Real (*)

(*) Important note

Toledo is half hour away from Madrid by train, so if you are planning to leave on Saturday, July 1, you could take the train from Toledo to Madrid (Atocha Renfe station). It costs 8 euros. Train schedule information

We recommend you to buy the tickets in advance because it is difficult to get them for that date. On-line sale is available on the Renfe webpage.

Important note

Individual fees for those who have intention to participate only in individual activities in the social program are:

  1. Farewell dinner: 72 € (including transport)
  2. Almagro: 28 € (including transport, tickets and dinner at Doña Carlota Hotel)
  3. Toledo: 95 € (including transport, tickets and lunch at El Palacete Restaurant).
Instructions of how to pay for these activities are in the registration web page.

UNIVERSITY OF CASTILLA-LA MANCHA

 

 


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